WORLDVIEW: Six wise people could end Ukraine war

1,126Views 0Comments Posted 15/03/2023

By Jonathan Power

“George, you have to understand that Ukraine is not even a country. Part of its territory is in Eastern Europe and the greater part was given to us.” These were the ominous words of President Vladimir Putin of Russia to President George W. Bush in Bucharest, Romania, at a NATO summit in April 2008.

The New York Times reported last year: “Britain’s hard-edge approach was crystallized in a punchy essay by the defense secretary, Ben Wallace. Writing in The London Times, Mr. Wallace rejected Mr. Putin’s claims of encirclement by NATO and accused the Russian leader of crude “ethnonationalism,” based on what he called the bogus claim that Russians and Ukrainians are one people. The essay made waves in Washington and in European capitals”.

How right or wrong are these remarks? Wallace’s remarks are dead wrong, and Putin’s are more or less correct.

Nearer the truth would be to say that Russia was part of Ukraine until the 15th century and after that vice versa. But Mr, Putin, there was no “giving”. Absorption would be a better word. (Maybe something was lost in translation.) Russians and Ukrainians are essentially the same intermingled people inhabiting an area first settled by Scandinavians.

Well-accepted historical scholarship points in that direction. 

Novgorod was the first major town to be settled- by the Scandinavian intruders in the early 9th century  The settlement today has developed into one of Russia’s main cities and was the dominant city in Rus’, the name for the original Russian and Ukrainian territory. It’s only less than four hours away from Moscow by one of Russia’s ultra-modern, Siemens-built, high-speed trains. These trains are the kind of market the EU has lost as it imposes sanctions. At this time, Moscow was but a village.

Prince Oleg (879-912) moved the capital, Novgorod, to Kyiv in 882. Kyiv was to remain the dominant city of Rus’ for centuries. Over time, the Scandinavian Rus’ and their Slav and other subjects would intermarry, and their cultures fuse. Kyiv extended its reach both eastward and southward.

Later, Prince Vladimir, the ambitious ruler of Rus’, decided at the end of the 10th century to convert to Christianity. His people were compelled to follow suit. Catholicism was rejected because no Prince of Kyiv would submit himself to the authority of the Pope. Byzantine Orthodox Christianity, based in Constantinople, which did not require submission to a distant foreign leader, won him over. The Cyrillic language spread itself to Rus’. Constantinople had long been Rus’ main trading partner and now the links were deepened. Oxford professor J.M. Roberts, author of the magisterial “Penguin History of the World” writes, “Probably 10th century Kyiv Rus’ had in many ways a richer culture than that which western Europe could offer”.

For a few centuries, Kyiv was the heart of the Russian Orthodox Church. Rus’, the name, had morphed into Russia. The Grand Prince of Kyiv was the spiritual ancestor of modern Russia, which means Moscow, Novgorod, and their hinterlands were de facto Ukrainian for 400 years. “They were all part of one Rus’ community; they looked to Kyiv as a center of their culture, faith and identity”, writes Mark Galeotti in his superb book.

Moscow began to bloom from township to city and by the end of the 13th century had its own cathedrals and fortresses. Kyiv, for its part, became the crossroads of multiple civilizations and polities. However- and this is the key date- in 1325 Metropolitan Pyotr moved his seat from Kyiv to Moscow (Muscovy) making it the spiritual capital of all the Russians.

In 1443 Constantinople fell to the Ottoman Empire. When the Orthodox Church moved its capital to Moscow in 1492, Moscow claimed itself to be the “Third Rome”. Indeed, I argue that the Russian Orthodox Church was the actual descendant of the Church founded by St. Peter. Emperor Constantine had moved the Church from Rome to Constantinople and from there, under Islamic pressure, it migrated to Moscow. Monasteries and cathedrals soon proliferated around Russia. Moscow was now dominant over Kyiv. Ukraine became part of Russia around 500 years.

For the US and its Nato allies to try and wrench Ukraine into their orbit is both mischievous and counterproductive- wicked, since it led to war. It’s true that President Boris Yeltsin, Russia’s first president after the collapse of the Soviet Union, was party to allowing Ukraine to part ways with the Soviet Union and form its own country. According to two people close to this event that I've talked to Georgi Arbatov, Gorbachev's chief foreign affairs advisor, and Zbigniew Brzezinski, former national security advisor to President Jimmy Carter- Yeltsin, the Ukrainian president, Leonid Kravchuk, and Belarus president, Alexander Lukashensko- met in the forest in front of a large log fire and roasted a deer and drank liters of vodka and, quite drunk, made the decision to withdraw from the Soviet Union.

Not just Yeltsin and most Russians but President H.W Bush (Senior) too never thought that Ukraine would then turn itself towards the West and before that long seek membership of NATO and the EU. Bush made it clear, during a visit to Kyiv, that the US did not want to see Ukraine independent and that it was best if the Soviet Union continued. (Republican voices like William Safire, a columnist of the New York Times, denounced Bush for this speech- “Chicken Kyiv”, he called it.)

Rather than the present confrontation in which the US and Russia seem equally militant, it is time to get back to the so-called Minsk agreement fashioned in 2015 by the leaders of Germany, France, Russia, and Ukraine. It was meant to stop the fighting in Donbas, the Russian-speaking region close to Ukraine's border with Russia. Separatists had, and have Russian support.

The agreement required Ukraine to decentralize power to its regions, to ensure permanent monitoring of the border, to ensure local elections, to make Ukraine fully democratic, to withdraw mercenaries (Russian) from Donbas, to ban offensive operations, an amnesty for all and to enact an economic program of recovery in Donbas. Evidence has belatedly emerged that German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Emmanuel Macron secretly worked to undermine the agreement, although they publicly promoted it. Can this be possible? I hope not. But it may be true. The West, both governments and people, do seem to be seized with irrational hatred and fear of Russia, a country that has never hurt them.

A year ago, I wrote: “Both sides should give up their military posturing. The US and the NATO countries need to pull back their provocative expansion up to and along Russia’s lengthy border, despite a promise made to Russia at the end of the Cold War not to. Russia needs to free its political prisoners and its media and to allow fair elections.” Now, of course, I have to write the obvious: both sides must declare a truce in this pitiful and pitiless war. Let the UN select a team of six of the wisest men and women on the planet to adjudicate a compromise, and an agreement to disarm and declare Ukraine a neutral state like Austria and Ireland. Although he is 99, I second Henry Kissinger to be one of the six.

But first, the West needs to understand why Ukraine is so important to Russia.